Gold may hit $2,000 within 3 months: James Turk

Last Updated : 02 February 2012 at 18:00 IST

James Turk, Chairman and founder of GoldMoney, claims that the 2012 bottom for Gold came during the first week in January. If the year's low is already history and if his projection that gold will hit the $2,000/oz mark within three months is on target, you do the math. "Gold is way too cheap," he tells in this exclusive interview.

The Gold Report: Given the volatile 2011 market and the fact that gold trades at seasonally lower prices in the summer, James, what led you to say you believe we've already hit the low for the gold price in 2012?

James Turk: We started this year in an unusual position. Normally, we see seasonal strength in the last quarter. We didn't get it. We'd been in a correction since the high in Silver back in April 2011. The high in gold came during the summer, which was very unusual, but basically both metals have been moving sideways. Starting from the end of a correction, value is more important than seasonality. Clearly, gold and silver both represent good, undervalued assets at the moment.

The other factor is continuing problems in the financial system. The European banks are still on the brink and many American banks are in a similar situation. Questions about the currency—whether the euro will survive—and the ongoing sovereign debt issue will cause people to look at the precious metals. I've said we saw the low in the gold price the first week of January, and the further into the year we get without going lower, the greater the probability that it was, in fact, the low for the year.

German Central Bank 228 Billion Euros in Debt Rescuing Europe; Bundesbank President Criticizes Merkel's Fiscal Pact, Says "No Grounds for Eurobonds"

MISH'S
Global Economic
Trend Analysis 

Both Angela Merkel and the Bundesbank are walking an extremely fine line of economic policies and treaty arrangements that appear to be in violation of policy statements made by the German Supreme Court regarding transfer unions. Moreover, the Bundesbank president is now in what amounts to an open Feud with Merkel.

Bundesbank 228 Billion Euros in Debt Rescuing Europe

Ambrose Evans-Pritchard at The Telegraph reports Bundesbank Sinks Deeper Into Debt Saving Europe

The operations are part of the European Central Bank's 'TARGET2' network of automatic payments between the national central banks of the Euroland club. The Bundesbank has already provided €496bn (£413bn) to countries in trouble, chiefly Greece, Ireland, Italy and Spain.

The Bundesbank - the dominant body in the euro system - used to keep a stock of €270bn of private securities (refinance credit) before the start of the financial crisis. This was depleted last year as it sold assets to meet growing demands on the TARGET2 scheme.

Once the debt drama began to engulf the bigger economies, the Bundesbank was forced to borrow money to meet its obligations to offset capital flight, since it refused to sell its stash of gold. It now owes €228bn to German banks.

Survey of European Banks Shows a Sharp Cutback in Lending; Three Reasons LTRO Will Not Get Banks to Lend

MISH'S
Global Economic
Trend Analysis

The LTRO may have ignited the bond markets and the stock market but it did not do anything for bank lending. The New York Times reports Survey of European Banks Shows a Sharp Cut in Lending

Banks in the euro area cut lending sharply at the end of 2011, according to data published Wednesday, raising concern that Europe was on the verge of a credit crisis that could lead to a deeper recession than expected.

A quarterly survey of commercial banks by the European Central Bank showed a surge in the number of institutions that were becoming more restrictive about who they lent to, because the banks themselves were having trouble raising money and were under pressure from regulators to reduce risk.

“It is obvious that we see a deleveraging, a retrenching process unfolding,” Thomas Mirow, the president of the European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, said in an interview last week. He said the figures from the Bank for International Settlements showed “this is not just perception but reality.” The reconstruction bank provides credit to support the development of free markets in the former Soviet bloc.  

Obama Releases Details on His Plan to Bail Out Banks, Fannie Mae, Hedge Funds, Wall Street, Fixing MERS and Screwing Taxpayers at Same Time; Key Aspects of Plan as Presented vs. Reality

MISH'S
Global Economic
Trend Analysis

Today, under guise of helping "responsible homeowners" president Obama published details of Plan to Help Homeowners and Heal the Housing Market

Key Aspects of the President’s Plan as Presented

• Broad Based Refinancing to Help Responsible Borrowers Save an Average of $3,000 per Year: The President’s plan will provide borrowers who are current on their payments with an opportunity to refinance and take advantage of historically low interest rates, cutting through the red tape that prevents these borrowers from saving hundreds of dollars a month and thousands of dollars a year. This plan, which is paid for by a financial fee so that it does not add a dime to the deficit, will:
• Provide access to refinancing for all non-GSE borrowers who are current on their payments and meet a set of simple criteria.
• Streamline the refinancing process for all GSE borrowers who are current on their loans.
• Give borrowers the chance to rebuild equity through refinancing.
• Homeowner Bill of Rights: The President is putting forward a single set of standards to make sure borrowers and lenders play by the same rules
• Moving the Market to Provide a Full Year of Forbearance for Borrowers Looking for Work: Following the Administration’s lead, major banks and the GSEs are now providing up to 12 months of forbearance to unemployed borrowers.

 

Doug Casey on the Coming War with Iran

(Interviewed by Louis James, Editor, International Speculator)
L: Doug-Sama, I've heard you say you think the US is setting Iran up to be the next fall guy in the wag-the-dog show – do you think it could really come to open warfare?
Doug: Yes, I do. It could just be saber rattling during an election year, but Western powers have been provoking Iran for years now – two decades, really. I just saw another report proclaiming that Iran is likely to attack the US, which is about as absurd as the allegations Bush made about Iraq bombing the US, when he fomented that invasion. It's starting to look rather serious at this point, so I do think the odds favor actual fighting in the not-too-distant future.
L: Could they really be so stupid?
Doug: You know the answer to that one. We're dealing with criminal personalities on both sides, and criminals are basically very stupid – meaning they have an unwitting tendency to self-destruction. One thing to remember is that most of those in power in the West still believe the old economic fallacy that war is good for the economy.
L: The old broken-window fallacy. Paraphrasing Arlo Guthrie, it's hard to believe anyone could get away with making a mistake that dumb for that long. Our friends at IHS put together a great, brief video debunking the fallacy.
Doug: People like those in power still suffer the delusion that it was World War II that ended the Great Depression for the US. Actually, it was only after the end of the war that the depression ended, in 1946. In his book World Economic Development: 1979 and Beyond, Herman Kahn documented long-term growth throughout the 20^th century. Between 1914 to 1946 – a very tough time, with WW I, the Great Depression, and WW II – the world economy still grew at something like 1.8%. I believe real growth would have been several times as great, were it not for the state and its products. But people still believe that spending money on things that explode and kill and destroy is somehow good for the economy.
L: I suppose they think it's okay if it creates jobs here and destroys lives and livelihoods "over there." But aside from the fact that it's not safe to assume today's enemies are not capable of bringing the battle onto US soil, it still ignores the fact that you're spending money on stuff that gets destroyed – like broken windows – and that impoverishes us all. Worse, the cost is not just economic.
Doug: That's right. This coming war with Iran has the potential to turn into something resembling WW III, with enormous consequences.
Now, it's hard to speak with any certainty on such matters, because most of what we have to go on are press reports. Governments keep most really critical facts on their doings to themselves, and what you read in the press is as likely as not just a warmed-over government press release – in other words, propaganda. Meaningless, if not actively deceptive. It is correctly said that in war, truth is the first casualty.

47 Signs That China Is Absolutely Destroying America On The Global Economic Stage

Have you ever watched a football game or a basketball game where one team dominates the other team so badly that calling it a "blowout" would be a huge understatement?  Well, that is what China is doing to the United States.  China is absolutely destroying America on the global economic stage.  Once upon a time, the Chinese economy was a joke and the U.S. economy was the most powerful the world had ever seen.  But over the past couple of decades the U.S. economy has decayed and declined while the Chinese economy has skyrocketed.  Today, China makes more steel, more automobiles, more beer, more cotton, more coal and more solar panels than we do.  China has the fastest train in the world, the fastest computer in the world and they export twice as much high-tech equipment as we do.  In 2011, our trade deficit with China was the largest trade deficit that one nation has had with another nation in the history of the world, and China has now accumulated more than 3 trillion dollars in foreign currency reserves.  Every single day, we lose more jobs, more businesses and more of our national wealth to China.  In technical economic terms, China has "taken us out behind the woodshed" and has beaten the living daylights out of us.  Unfortunately, most Americans are so addicted to entertainment that they don't even realize what is happening.
If you do not believe that China is wiping the floor with America in front of the rest of the world, just keep reading.  The following are 47 signs that China is absolutely destroying America on the global economic stage....
#1 Back in 1998, the United States had 25 percent of the world’s high-tech export market and China had just 10 percent. Today, China's high-tech exports are more than twice the size of U.S. high-tech exports.
#2 America has lost more than a quarter of all of its high-tech manufacturing jobs over the past ten years.
#3 The Chinese economy has grown 7 times faster than the U.S. economy has over the past decade.

Keiser Report: Chutzpah Economics (E244)

In this episode, Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, discuss chutzpah economics, unrequited transfers and shakedowns. In the second half of the show, Max talks to economist, Saifedean Ammous, about the standoff between Egypt and the IMF debt pushers as well as the war against the online free market by Hollywood middlemen.

SPECIAL REPORT: $500 SILVER & Hyperinflation

"A SGTreport SPECIAL REPORT featuring Chris Duane from http://dont-tread-on.me/ & David Morgan from http://www.silver-investor.com/. Chris and I explore the 1/10th ounce silver payment for a hard day's labor which was the historical norm for centuries. And how that fractional payment will actually hold true in the future for millions of Americans once silver reaches its real all-time inflation adjusted high of $500 per ounce. David Morgan also joins us to explore the very real possibility of hyperinflation in the United States by the year 2014. So buckle up, this is a good one."

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Nomi Prins - Mafia Banking Cartel Blackmail Greece into Antiquities Debt Pay Off Dea

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A Financial System Built to Fail: a look back at 2008 w/Karl Denninger

After a Delay, MF Global’s Missing Money Is Traced

By BEN PROTESS and AZAM AHMED
Louis Freeh, a former F.B.I. director, and James Giddens, below, a partner at Hughes, Hubbard & Reed, are MF Global trustees.Alex Wong/Getty ImagesLouis Freeh, a former F.B.I. director, and James Giddens, below, a partner at Hughes, Hubbard & Reed, are MF Global trustees.
Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images

Investigators have determined what happened to nearly all of the customer money that disappeared from MF Global around the time of its bankruptcy last Oct. 31, but have not publicly disclosed their progress, fearing that doing so might cripple efforts to recover the cash and pursue potential wrongdoing, people briefed on the investigation said.

While authorities have traced hundreds of millions of dollars to banks, MF Global’s trading partners and even the firm’s securities customers, investigators remain uncertain about whether they can retrieve the money.

Some recipients were entitled to payouts from MF Global, which could make clawing back the money difficult. For instance, securities customers withdrawing their money as MF Global began to collapse were paid from accounts that belonged to futures clients, according to other people briefed on the matter.

But the Commodity Futures Trading Commission, the regulator leading the investigation, will examine whether anyone accepted customer cash without verifying the source of the money, one of the people briefed on the matter said.

This person and others who discussed the case did so on the condition of anonymity because the investigation is not public.

The findings shift the pressing question surrounding the collapse of MF Global from what happened to the money to how to recover it and who is at fault.

Answers will not come easy. A significant impediment has been clashes among the parties trying to resolve the MF Global mess: three federal agencies and two bankruptcy trustees.

At the center of the squabbling are e-mails sent by top executives at MF Global — communications that have been withheld from federal authorities, according to the people briefed on the matter. Investigators suspect the e-mails, sent just before the firm collapsed, contain clues about who transferred the money from protected customer accounts.

Asia Gold Prices Up

By Esther Tanquintic-Misa: Subscribe to Esther's RSS feed

February 1, 2012 12:44 AM EST


If for anything, the recently concluded weeklong Lunar New Year holiday helped propel prices of gold in the Asian trading floor to rise on Tuesday, prompted by China's holiday bingeing of the precious yellow metal.

"People (in China) are still very interested in buying gold," a Beijing-based analyst said in The Wall Street Journal, noting Asian appetite into gold facilitated its prices to soar 10.9 per cent higher since the start of the year.

This, as China's 2011 gold production jumped to 5.89 per cent to 360.96 tonnes over a year ago, the China Gold Association said on Tuesday. The latest data marked a record high and ranked as the highest in the world for the fifth consecutive year, the association added.

The continuing fiscal crisis affecting the world today will support China's appetite for gold, long considered a safe haven to protect one's fiscal image, to further widen, the analyst said.

On Tuesday, spot gold traded at $1,734.92 a troy ounce at 0525 GMT, a $4.62 growth from its previous settlement.

However, analysts said investors may move to cash over safe-haven assets in the next few days, still due to the unending Greek debt restructuring talks. Once the U.S. dollar regains strength this week, dollar-denominated commodities become all the more expensive to investors holding other currencies.

'Gold and silver will shine over the next few months'

Last Updated : 01 February 2012 at 11:30 IST

By Patrick A. Heller
Through the COMEX close on Monday, January 30, the prices of Gold and Silver had increased more than 10% and 20% over the course of the month. Had these results been realized by any of the major stock indices, you can be sure they would garner headline coverage. But strong markets in gold and silver continue to receive comparatively minimal reporting by the mainstream financial media.

Actually, the value of gold and silver haven’t changed at all. Ounces of physical gold and silver are still worth the same today as they were a month ago. What has changed is that the values of paper currencies, stocks, and bonds have mostly fallen in January.

In mid-January, the US Dollar Index reached its highest level since September 2010. This temporary strength resulted from the weakness in the Euro. The falling value of the Euro was related to the financial problems in many European nations, where sovereign credit ratings were dropped for at least ten countries in that continent within the past month. Governments such as France, Italy, Spain, and Austria were among those hit by credit downgrades.From its peak two weeks ago, the US Dollar Index has dropped 2%.

Greece Prime Minister Calls "Crisis Meeting" Attacks EU, IMF; Does Germany Want a Deal?

MISH'S
Global Economic
Trend Analysis

Things are going so well in Greece (just one step away from a deal for weeks on end), that Greek officials attack EU and IMF as debt talks stall

Greek officials launched a vociferous behind the scenes attack on European Union and International Monetary Fund negotiators as talks in Athens over the country's mounting debts appeared to stall.

Prime minister Lucas Papademos told aides that a crisis meeting of party leaders would be called as early as Thursday to thrash out a response to an increasingly intransigent negotiating team sent by Brussels, which is demanding severe austerity measures before sanctioning a further €130bn (£109bn) of bailout funds.

Papademos and his team of aides returned in sombre mood on Tuesday from a round of talks in Brussels and Frankfurt at the offices of the European Central Bank (ECB), despite relief that a German proposal to install an EU commissioner in Athens, with special oversight of Greek finances, had been quashed.

On the negotiations over the bailout funds, Greek MPs have objected to demands by the troika for further wage cuts and reductions in the minimum wage.

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Super Powers Can Handle Super Debt?

World renowned Harvard economist Niall Ferguson says the USA is now unlikely to default on its debt (actually only partially) and that the reason they won’t “run out” of money has nothing to do with their status as a currency issuer, but has everything to do with being a super power which gives them the ability to handle “super debts” (via Business Insider):

“I think we are going to get some defaults one way or the other. The U.S. is a different story. First of all I think the debt to GDP ratio can go quite a lot higher before there’s any upward pressure on interest rates. I think the more I’ve thought about it the more I’ve realized that there are good analogies for super powers having super debts. You’re in a special position as a super power. You get, especially, you know, as the issuer of the international reserve currency, you get a lot of leeway. The U.S. could conceivably grow its way out of the debt. It could do a mixture of growth and inflation. It’s not going to default. It may default on liabilities in Social Security and Medicare, in fact it almost certainly will. But I think holders of Treasuries can feel a lot more comfortable than anyone who’s holding European bonds right now.”

MF Global Was Doing Great Until It Wasn’t

By Matt Levine

“Every banker knows that if he has to prove that he is worthy of credit, however good may be his arguments, in fact his credit is gone,” but every banker also seems to forget the modern corollary, which is that, if you have to prove you are worthy of credit, however good may be your arguments, don’t do it over email. Here’s someone who forgot that and does it surprise you to find his name in the same sentence as “House Financial Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations”?:

A week before MF Global Holdings Ltd. collapsed, its chief financial officer told Standard & Poor’s in an e-mail that the futures broker had “never been stronger.”
S&P provided the House Financial Services Subcommittee on Oversight and Investigations with an excerpt of the e-mail from MF Global CFO Henri Steenkamp. S&P also informed the panel that Jon Corzine, then MF Global’s chief executive officer, met with its analysts on Oct. 20 to reassure them that his $6.3 billion bet on European sovereign debt was no threat to the firm, according to a Jan. 17 letter obtained by Bloomberg News.
U.S. lawmakers will turn their attention to the role of the ratings companies in the failure of MF Global at a Feb. 2 hearing after summoning Corzine, the former governor of New Jersey and Goldman Sachs Group Inc. co-chairman, to two hearings in December. S&P ranked MF Global as investment grade until its failure, while Moody’s downgraded it to junk status four days earlier.
“MF Global is in its strongest position ever,” Steenkamp told S&P on Oct. 24, according to the letter to Representative Randy Neugebauer, a Texas Republican, from Craig Parmelee, a managing director at S&P in New York.

Iran sanctions: India exploring Russia payment route

With the U.S. and the EU imposing fresh sanctions against Iran, India is exploring all possibilities to keep the Iranian oil flowing as it is critical to its energy security. One of the options being discussed is firming up an arrangement with Russia’s Gazprombank for paying to Iranian oil.

In the wake of the U.S. and the European Union approving fresh sanctions and an oil embargo against Iran, India has no choice but to step up its efforts to find new ways to pay for Iranian hydrocarbons.
Unlike Turkey, the current mediator between Indian and Iranian oil companies, one of the most convenient options seems to be using the Russian banking system, which is not facing a lot of pressure. To keep Iranian oil flowing as it contributes around 12 percent of New Delhi’s oil imports, India had started preparing in advance for the introduction of the EU oil embargo against Iran. An Indian multi-ministerial delegation visited Tehran from January 16 to 21 to discuss with Iranian colleagues the possibility of changing the current payment methods for Iranian oil.

According to Indian media reports, India is exploring the possibility of opening a bank account in another country, perhaps with Russia’s Gazprombank. The desire for such an arrangement was expressed by Indian Oil Corporation and Bharat Petroleum Corporation, India’s two largest oil refiners. Indian Prime Minister Manmohan Singh discussed the question of opening accounts with Russian politicians during his visit to Moscow in December. Gazprom has not yet released information about a possible deal. Another proposed way to change the payment scheme for Iranian oil would be to transition to a barter system. India would invest in other sectors of Iran’s economy and in return receive an equivalent amount of Iranian oil.

The other alternatives that are being explored include paying for Iranian oil in Indian currency or Japanese yen. There is also a possibility of paying through gold. Tehran receives around $12 billion annually from New Delhi for oil (12% of India’s total oil consumption), and both countries wish to maintain trade volumes. However, with the progressively worsening economic sanctions against Iran, imposed unilaterally by the U.S. and the European Union, there are fewer opportunities for India-Iran cooperation. For India’s oil companies, this situation could lead to serious economic losses.

Iran well prepared for the worst

By David Isenberg

Most discussions of possible United States military operations in the Persian Gulf, should Iran try to prevent maritime traffic from going through the Strait of Hormuz, generally say that while it would not be a cakewalk, it would not be an enormously difficult task either.

But that conventional wisdom is wrong, according to a recent report issued by an independent, non-profit public policy research institute in Washington DC. The report found that the traditional post-Cold War US military ability to project power overseas with few serious challenges to its freedom of action may be rapidly drawing to a close.

While such conclusions have been voiced before, most notably in



regard to capabilities being developed by the People's Republic of China - which is developing an anti-access/area-denial (A2/AD) battle network that could constrain the US military's ability to maneuver in the air, sea, undersea, space and cyber-space operating domains - China is hardly the only country that has developed such options.

According to the report published by the Center for Strategic and Budgetary Assessments (CSBA), "Iran, in particular, has been investing in new capabilities that could be used to deter, delay or prevent effective US military operations in the Persian Gulf. Iran's acquisitions of weapons that it could use to deny access to the Gulf, control the flow of oil and gas from the region, and conduct acts of aggression or coercion, are of grave concern to the United States and its security partners."

The report, "Outside-In: Operating from Range to Defeat Iran's Anti-Access and Area-Denial Threats" [1] notes that Iran has been preparing for a possible military confrontation with the United States for decades. Instead of engaging in a direct military competition, which would be pitting its weaknesses against US strengths, Iran has developed an asymmetric "hybrid" A2/AD strategy that mixes advanced technology with guerilla tactics to deny US forces basing access and maritime freedom of maneuver.

Even if Iran did not disrupt Gulf maritime traffic for long, it could still have a devastating impact. A recent report by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) found that Iran's closure of the Strait of Hormuz would "neutralize a large part of current OPEC [Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries] spare capacity," saying "alternative routes exist, but only for a tiny fraction of the amounts shipped through the strait, and they may take some time to operationalize while transportation costs would rise significantly."

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Venezuela Receives Last Shipment of Repatriated Gold Bars

 By Nathan Crooks - Jan 31, 2012 1:08 AM GMT+0100
Venezuela today received the last shipment of gold bars in an operation that repatriated 160 tons of the South American country’s reserves of the metal held abroad, said Nelson Merentes, president of the country’s central bank.
Fourteen tons of gold arrived at the Caracas airport today on a flight from Europe, Merentes said. The gold bars were transported in a caravan, broadcast on state television, to vaults at the central bank where street banners proclaimed “Mission Complete.”
“In two months, we’ve brought 160 tons of gold valued at around $9 billion back to Venezuela,” Merentes said on state television from the Caracas airport. “Today marks the last day of the mission.”

MFGlobal and our vaporizing 1.2 billion dollars/Greece and Portugal/Gold and silver raid prior to first day notice

Good evening Ladies and Gentlemen:

I guess our boys decided that a raid on silver and gold was necessary prior to first day notice.  The object of the exercise was to dampen the spirits of the long holders into taking cash and depositing it into the brokerage account in order to take delivery of gold and silver.  Gold closed down by 3.00 dollars to $1729.80 whereas silver fell by 25 cents to $33.50.  I would have to say that the raid was a total wipe out for our bankers.

Let us head over to the comex and assess trading.  First day notice is tomorrow.  However I still do not have delivery notices going into tomorrow.  This will be important so I will post it tonight in my comments sections.
The total comex gold OI today fell by 3551 contracts from 433,710 to 430,159.  On Friday we had a very good day for gold so again a few bankers bit the dust. The front options expiry month of January is now complete.  The big delivery month of February saw its OI rest tonight at a monstrously high 29,103 contracts.  I will still need tomorrow's OI data to see how many rolled into April.  The next front month of April saw its OI rise from 175,305 to 213,997 for a rollover of 38,692 contracts.  This snapshot would be as of Friday as all OI numbers are 24 hours back.  The estimated volume at the gold comex today was very very light at 184,065.  I would have thought that more rolled to the April month today.  The confirmed volume on the gold comex on Friday was very high at 343,879 but many were rollovers.

The total silver comex OI fell marginally by 121 contracts from 102,006 to 101,885.  Since silver had a great day on Friday we again lost some bankers who could not stand the heat.  The front options expiry month of January is now off the board.  The new front options expiry is now February and here the OI rose from 124 to 159 as these guys will be given a futures contract for February and thus automatically stand for metal.  The next big delivery month for silver is March and here the OI stayed quite constant rising by 500 contracts to 49,053.  The estimated volume at the silver comex today was anemic at 31,583 contracts.  The confirmed volume on Friday was also anemic at 34,752.

Keiser Report

In this episode, Max Keiser and co-host, Stacy Herbert, discuss banking zombies and clowns and their magical thinking on zero rates while starving the economy of interest income. In the second half of the show, Max talks to Ned Naylor-Leyland about the silver, gold, backwardation, manipulation and more.

Michael Hudson, "In America and Europe, Crime has been Decriminalized"

No Pushing In The Default Line, Please

By: Michael Ashton | Mon, Jan 30, 2012

Europe continues to smolder, but it is about to burst into outright flame. The 'private sector initiative' (PSI) discussions, which were supposed to be completed the Friday before last, continue. The leaks of an imminent deal continue, and eventually I am certain that a deal will be announced because eventually we will be down to just one bondholder still represented by the IIF. It is pretty clear by now - or it should be - that the PSI is no panacea. The only ray of hope to that process is that the approval of a 'haircut' (in the same way that Hannibal Lecter gave haircuts) would give the EU a fig leaf to approve a deal to send good money after bad, if it could overlook the failure to implement austerity measures that currently has German Finance Minister Schaeuble in a tizzy.
It would be a colossal mistake to agree to another €130bln bailout, even if the chances of it actually being disbursed would be slim (after all, remember the PSI process is necessary for the disbursement of the past-due tranche of the current bailout). And, honestly, I think the only reason they are continuing the charade is to give themselves more time to ready the Plan B default and/or Euro exit.
However, the market may not give them the time. Today Portugal's 10-year rate rose nearly 200bps (see Chart, source Bloomberg), likely triggered in part by a headline saying "ECB cuts off bond buying as pressure mounts."

It didn't actually cut off bond buying, but it bought very little last week. It seems fairly clear that the limits of the ECB's ability to sterilize the transaction are nearby, if they have not already been reached, and no doubt some cooler heads have pointed out that failing to have enough buyers for a 7-day ECB tender would be much worse than allowing bond yields to reach free-market levels. After all, what's the difference to Portugal of 15% or 17% on 10-year notes? Neither level makes Portugal's situation even vaguely sustainable.

China buying Gold like cheap cabbage, COMEX Gold speculator positions surge

By Ben Traynor
The spot market price of buying Gold climbed to $1728 an ounce Monday morning London time – a slight drop from last week's close – while stock markets, commodities and the Euro all fell and government bond prices rose as European leaders met for their latest summit in Brussels.

The cost of buying Silver fell to $33.08 at one point – a 2.6% drop from where it ended last week.

Gold fell as low as $1718 per ounce Monday morning, dropping steadily during Asian trading, though this represented a loss of only 1% on Friday's closing price.

CHINA

"Everybody seemed to be expecting profit taking out of Shanghai after the two Chinese bourses came back online," said one Hong Kong dealer.

"As far as we can see, there wasn't much of that."

During last week's Lunar New Year holiday, China saw a "gold rush", with consumers spending more on buying gold than during the 2011 festival, according to a China Daily report.

"People seem crazy about gold, snatching it up more like a cheap cabbage than such a precious metal," it quotes Beijing resident Miao Miao.

The value of sales at two of Beijing's top gold retailers, Caibai and Guohua, reportedly hit 600 million Yuan ($95.28 million) – a 49.7% rise on last year's sales, almost 50% increase in purchases!The gold price in Dollars meantime rose around 25% over the same period.

Is Gold the hottest currency in the world?

By Robert Lenzner
The price of Gold is roaring back from its latest temporary correction, sending the bears into full withdrawal. If you sold your gold in December as it fell to $1525 an ounce, you’re probably feeling foolish at the incredible $210 rise to $1735– a 15% move in no time at all.

Gold, you see, is not a commodity like oil and Copper and wheat. It is rather an alternative currency– one that finds buyers when paper currencies like the Euro are being hugely increased in supply by the ECB to forestall a sovereign cum bank crisis in Europe. There’s $650 billion in European bank and sovereign debt coming die before March 31, 2012 which can be sopped up by the $650 billion gift from ECB to the banks at the bargain rate of 1%. And more available from the European central bank– Europe’s very own Quantitative Easing program.

As the supply of gold cannot keep up with paper money(supply increases very little despite exploration), and it can be bought without loss of any real interest income, it seems clear t hat the gold bull market is alive and well. Central banks obviously are of the mind that gold’s rise will make up for t he decline in paper money and the lack of income on central bank liquid investments.

Portugal's Debt Will Be Restructured; 3-Year Government Bond Yield Tops 25%; CDS at Record High, Implies 72% Chance of Default

MISH'S
Global Economic
Trend Analysis

Inquiring minds are watching Portuguese government bonds soar into the stratosphere, with record-high bond yields across the entire yield curve.

In all the images below, the numbers are accurate but the charts reflect yesterday. I have mentioned this to Bloomberg a number of times to no avail.

Portugal 2-year Government Bonds



Portugal 3-year Government Bonds

You Ain't Seen Nothin' Yet; Another Trillion (or Two) Euro LTRO Coming Next Month

MISH'S
Global Economic
Trend Analysis

Last month, European banks tapped the ECB for €489bn in a long-term refinance operation dubbed LTRO. On February 29, another round of LTRO is coming up and expect banks to go for the gusto. Banks like cheap money to speculate and that is exactly what they will do.

The Financial Times reports Banks set to double crisis loans from ECB

European banks are preparing to tap the European Central Bank’s emergency funding scheme for up to twice as much as the ECB supplied in its debut €489bn auction last month, providing further evidence of the sector’s liquidity squeeze.

Several of the eurozone’s biggest banks have told the Financial Times that they could well double or triple their request for funds in the ECB’s three-year money auction on February 29.

“Banks are not going to be as shy second time round,” said the head of one eurozone bank at last week’s World Economic Forum in Davos. “We should have done more first time.”

Three bank chief executives, all of whom asked to remain anonymous, said they were planning to increase their participation twofold or threefold.

Making Money On Poverty: JP Morgan Makes Bigger Profits When The Number Of Americans On Food Stamps Goes Up

How would you feel if someone told you that one of the largest banks on Wall Street makes more money whenever the number of Americans on food stamps goes up?  Unfortunately, this is something that is actually true.  In the United States today, one out of every seven Americans is on food stamps.  In fact, the number of Americans on food stamps has increased by a whopping 14 million since Barack Obama entered the White House.  All of this makes JP Morgan very happy, because JP Morgan has been making money by the boatload on food stamps.  Right now, JP Morgan Chase issues food stamp debit cards in 26 U.S. states and the District of Columbia.  The division of JP Morgan Chase that issues these debit cards made an eye-popping 5.47 billion dollars in net revenue during 2010.  JP Morgan is paid per customer, so when the number of Americans on food stamps goes up, they make more money.  But doesn't this give JP Morgan an incentive to try to keep the number of Americans on food stamps as high as possible?  Of course it does.  JP Morgan is interested in making money as rapidly as possible. If JP Morgan can get more Americans enrolled in the food stamp program and keep them enrolled in it for as long as possible, that is good for business.
And the Obama administration is certainly doing what it can to help out.  Even though a whopping 46 million Americans are now on food stamps, the Obama administration plans to give out large amounts of money to organizations that are able figure out ways to get even more people enrolled in the program....

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China Doubles Gold Holdings: No Other Asset is Safe

Posted by Brittany Stepniak - Monday, January 30th, 2012

Due to the latest phenomena in China, some experts are calling this the “Gold Era”.

The Chinese are buying gold in record numbers and the trend has been increasing exponentially within the past year as the race for wealth-guarding picks up pace.

It has been estimated that China purchased approximately 490 tons of gold in the 2011 year – double the estimated 245 tons purchased just one year earlier in 2010.

With stories of China's gold hoarding blowing up headlines around the world, people are beginning to ask: “Who's buying all the gold?”...and “Why are they buying in such massive quantities?”

Usual Suspect #1: The People's Bank of China (PBOC).

According to Zhang Jianhua from the PBOC. “No asset is safe now...The only choice to hedge risks is to hold hard currency—gold.” Jianhua also commented on it being a wise move to purchase the expensive yellow-metal on price dips.

After Mr. Jianhua made these statements, global analysts immediately assumed they meant that the fifth-largest holder of gold would be on the prowl for even more of the glistening precious metal. Hence, an easy explanation as to "who's buying all the gold."

However, others argue that there is little proof to support that theory. Perhaps most the most important thing to remember before jumping to conclusions is the simple fact that it'd be an extremely rare scenario that China's government would want to purposefully disclose their short-term investment strategies, at the risk of hurting itself.

Second, the central bank has less purchasing power these days. China’s foreign reserves declined in Q4 2011, falling $20.6 billion from Q3. The first quarterly outflow since 1998 was not large, but the trend was troubling. The reserves declined a stunning $92.7 billion in November and December.

What Made Gold Break Out?

 By: Julian D. W. Phillips, Gold/Silver Forecaster - Global Watch -

Last week, gold broke through heavy overhead resistance, as did silver, to look very positive for the days ahead. Many technical analysts didn’t feel that gold had that kind of momentum but then came the break. It wasn’t a struggling break; it was robust sweeping resistance aside as though it wasn’t even there.

Fed’s Announcement Last Week

You’re probably saying now that it was the announcement from the Fed that interest rates would be held at current levels for another year more, through to the end of 2014. The superficial assumption is that this means that the dollar will earn nothing, so risk assets should outperform dollar deposits. That’s true, but a great deal more was implied in their statement (as we detailed in the latest issues of the Gold Forecaster & Silver Forecaster). The Fed pointed to long rates rising to above 4% over time, while inflation remained at 2% –and could fall further. Why?

If long-term rates are going to rise while inflation is dropping and short-term rates are flat, it’s more than likely that there will be a robust recovery. In those conditions it is more than likely that it is the dollar that will become suspect with dollar investors moving out of Treasuries. This could cause long-term rates to rise as they sell. The dollar would suffer in the process. What’s of considerable importance is that a rise in long-term rates means that the Treasury markets will fall to reflect interest rate rises. Currently, long-term bonds are at very high prices, so a fall could prove particularly harmful to those markets as well as the broad economy –including housing at a time when that will hurt that struggling market even more.

It is difficult not to see a sad picture for both the dollar and other facets of the developed world economies going forward, despite the noble efforts of the Fed.

What Made Gold, Silver Rise Beyond the Announcement

Investors who are aware that the U.S. gold market is not the hub of the gold market, must be asking why did the price jump in U.S. time? The sophisticated nature of the developed world market allows the U.S. trading markets to act like the waves on the sea shore and move prices quickly and dramatically. It takes the 24-hour market to smooth out the moves to reflect the true demand and supply picture. That’s why London pulled back the gold price on Monday this week. But the jump of $65 after the announcement reflected short covering and new long positions being established in those markets. The jump through $1,700 has been held in position and looks like staying there now.

Jim Rogers - CNBC 30 January 2012

Spring Festival sparks a 'gold rush' in China

Customers swarm to buy gold products at Caishikou Department Store in Beijing, capital of China, Jan 25, 2012.[Photo/CFP]

BEIJING - A "gold rush" swept through China during the week-long Lunar New Year holiday this year, with demand for precious metals and jewelry surging since the Year of the Dragon began.
Sales of gold, silver and jewelry rose 57.6 percent during the week-long holiday at Caibai, one of Beijing's best-known gold retailers, according to data released by the Ministry of Commerce (MOC) on Saturday.
Other jewelry stores across the country also saw sales boom during the period, with customers favoring New Year-themed gold bars, gold ingots and other types of Dragon-themed jewelries.
"Long treasured by Chinese, gold is no longer owned only by a privileged few, but has become a new investment channel open to all," said Guan Qiang, assistant manager at Caibai.
The Spring Festival gives people a chance to preserve and present gold as gifts, offering hopes that it will increase in value and not be impacted by inflation, Guan said.
During the week-long holiday, which lasted from January 22 to 28, the sales volume in Caibai and Guohua, another of Beijing's top gold retailers, reached about 600 million yuan ($95.28 million).
The figure showed a 49.7-percent increase over that of last year's Spring Festival, said a report released by the Beijing Municipal Commission of Commerce.
Caibai began selling gold bars as investment items during the 2008 Beijing Olympic Games, but the trend of buying gold or silver bars during the Spring Festival has really taken off in the past two years, Guan said.
For Guan and his colleagues, the Spring Festival rush was an exciting but exhausting experience, as customers flooded the store and surprised clerks with their purchasing enthusiasm.
"With customers crowding and rushing in, we did not even have time to eat and drink," said a sales clerk at the gold bar counter surnamed Li.
She said each shop assistant had received hundreds of customers per day and wrote several times more orders than on ordinary days.
"You can hardly even see the gold bars, necklaces and pendants in the display case. People seem crazy about gold, snatching it up more like a 'cheap cabbage' than such a precious metal," said Beijing resident Miao Miao.

THE CARTEL IS BOXED IN: Ranting Andy

THE CARTEL IS BOXED IN: Ranting Andy [Part 1 of 2]

IT'S TWO PARTIES VS. THE PEOPLE: Ranting Andy [Part 2 of 2]

Gold up 10% on India, China, Iran rumours

By: Vicky Kapur

Published Monday, January 30, 2012

May pay in bullion for Iran oil; Dollar under attack

An employee counts some gold bars before he sells them to a customer at a gold shop in Hanoi August 23, 2011. (REUTERS)

Gold prices are currently trending around the $1,730 per ounce mark, within touching distance of their 60-day high of $1,747/oz, and up 10 per cent in the first 30 days of 2012.
Fuelling the bullion’s newfound drive are rumours that India and China, one of the world’s largest oil consumers, are secretly mulling paying in gold for Iranian oil, and bypassing a European Union (EU) oil embargo on Iran, effective from July 1, 2012.
The EU voted last Monday to ban oil imports from Iran. The move came after a defiant Iran announced earlier in January that it had launched a nuclear enrichment programme at a well-protected underground facility near the city of Qom.
Western nations suspect Iran, which is already under numerous international sanctions, of pursuing a secret nuclear weapons programme but Tehran insists it needs nuclear power solely for civilian purposes.
Nevertheless, the new EU sanctions are being seen as a way for the Western world to bring Iran to the negotiations table, but any move by China and India, which together purchase more than one-third of Iran’s oil, to bypass the sanctions will significantly reduce the EU’s negotiating prowess.
India, which has had traditionally friendly relations with Iran and has found a relatively new ally in the US, is in a precarious situation and has reportedly been working at finding a middle ground and strongly urging for a diplomatic solution.

***2012 The Class Warfare Election***

This is sad, Americans have been so brain washed and so conditioned by the government that people are in an absolute tizzy about Mitt Romney paying an effective tax rate of 13.9%. Now everyone knows we are not supporters of any of the big government politicians, so this is NOT a political email in the sense of endorsing a candidate or party. This is about the mindset of most people, something we honestly find disgusting. The masses and the politicians from both sides of the aisle are using this 'tax return" story to beat the drums of class warfare.

 

Has anyone in the main stream media, colleges, or anyone brought up the fact that instead of everyone demanding Mitt pay more, why don't we demand that everyone else pay less. In fact, since it is the fruits of your labor, why don't we demand to keep all of our earned income? To us, this is a property rights issue, not a "pay your fair share" issue, that would be stupid to even say something like that. Seriously, Mitt paying more in income taxes than probably 150 million people combined, is he really paying his fair share? No, he is paying a lot more than his fair share.

 

The fact is taxing our income is oppression by the government, especially since the IRS is pointing a gun at our heads. If you don't pay your income tax, you might end up in jail. Don't believe us, ask Irwin Schiff, an anti-income tax advocate who the feds threw in jail for failure to report income.

 

 

 

Think about the tyranny in this tax, you exchange your time, energy, and body to produce income, and then instead of You using your earnings for yourself and family, the government forcefully takes some of it away in order to give it to others. Perhaps a Saudi prince, a life long smoker who needs medical care, or maybe to pay for a warrentless wire tap.

The Coming Paradigm Shift in Silver

By Steve St. Angelo

The biggest problem for investors today in trying to forecast the future price of silver is the enormous amount of contradictory analysis on the Internet.  There are bulls, bears, paper traders, physical buyers, technical analysts, hedge funds, commercial banks and silver manufacturers all trying to play a part in this highly volatile silver market.  Trying to sift through the huge volumes of silver analysis on the internet can be extremely frustrating.  In addition, some of this information is not meant to inform, but rather to confuse or mislead the investor.

There is a great deal of misinformation on the internet when it comes to silver.  I find it ironic that one of the so-called “bullion specialists” seems to give bearish commentary whenever the price of gold or silver rises to new highs.  This is akin to a CEO of a corporation telling the media and shareholders that the company’s stock price is too high and needs to drop down to more sustainable levels.  What CEO on Earth would say something as stupid as this with the best interest of the company and shareholders in mind?  Furthermore, how many CEOs would keep their job if they repeated this over and over for the past several years, and got it wrong time and time again?  

Unless you have been in the precious metals markets for quite some time, it is easy to be misled by this type of information.  This is the very reason behind the motivation that I had to write this article.  In it, I will attempt to give the reader-investor a more detailed and fundamental comparative analysis of the future price of silver, rather than the typical fly-by-night technical charting or bull-bear rant.  This should give a more commonsense methodology in forecasting the future path of silver and its eventual paradigm shift.

Paradigm Shift: —n, a radical change in underlying beliefs or theory

The coming paradigm shift in silver will not happen due to technical analysis, fundamentals, or supply & demand forces, but rather due to a change in mass psychology of investors.  Even though fundamentals and supply-demand forces will play a part in this shift, they will not be the ultimate cause.   I believe technical analysis as it is used today, only charts the amount of manipulation and mass psychology in the silver market.  

Throughout history, a paradigm shift occurs in rigged markets when the manipulation of the financial system and economy is no longer sustainable.  This occurred in the banking and housing markets in 2007-2008 when we had what I call a “Negative Paradigm Price Shift”— a trend where prices or values are declining.

Negative Paradigm Price Shift in Housing and Banking

Prior to 2007, the real estate market was kept alive by the work of clowns and magicians in the mortgage industry and banking system.  For several years everyone was having a great time.  As housing prices and sales continued towards the heavens, bank profits hit all-time records.  Everything was going along just fine until the market realized one day that there was nothing left after “Liars Loans” were levied to keep the Ponzi going.  Once the housing market collapsed, so too did the banking system.  Like two twins attached at birth, one could not live without the other.

In true waterfall fashion, investment banks, commercial banks, government-sponsored entities and insurance companies went bankrupt, were either taken over or became a mere shadow of their former selves.

Here we can see several examples of a Negative Paradigm Shift:

As you can see from these 10-year charts, the prices of these stocks were range bound prior to 2007.  All of a sudden, in the middle of 2007, the bottom fell out and the prices of these stocks suffered exponential losses.  Other examples of companies that have experienced similar Negative Paradigm Shifts include Lehman Brothers, Bear Stearns, Merrill Lynch, Washington Mutual and Freddie Mac.

How could all of these institutions collapse in this fashion?  It was due to policy deregulation as well as the manipulation of financial products, assets and information.  Thus, the banking system and these institutions were functioning and supposedly solvent a great deal longer than a free market would have allowed.  The act of misleading the market gave false values and elevated stock prices.

This is a perfect example of the mass psychology of the public investing in highly inflated assets based on superficial and bogus technical analysis.  As the housing and financial markets were reaching their peak in the 2007, fundamentals played no part in their real market values— it was based entirely on mass psychology instead; the false belief projected by investors and the corporations themselves that these companies were actually of high value.

This disintegration of the housing market and banking system was not an isolated episode; rather it was part of the events that take place in STAGE 1 of what Dmitry Orlov calls the Five Stages of Collapse.  

• Stage 1: Financial Collapse
• Stage 2: Commercial Collapse
• Stage 3: Political Collapse
• Stage 4: Social Collapse
• Stage 5: Cultural Collapse

According to Orlov:

STAGE 1:  Financial collapse.  Faith in "business as usual" is lost. The future is no longer assumed resemble the past in any way that allows risk to be assessed and financial assets to be guaranteed. Financial institutions become insolvent; savings are wiped out, and access to capital is lost.

Here we can see that the majority of these conditions in the Financial Collapse have already taken place.  The only reason why the U.S. banking system is still functioning today is due to the ability of banks to mark to model their assets giving the impression that they are still solvent.  Furthermore, the increased guarantee of FDIC deposit accounts to $250,000 as well as a temporary unlimited coverage for noninterest-bearing transaction accounts until Dec 31, 2012 have kept a major bank run on the banking system.  These changes of policy have postponed the United States from entering into STAGE 2 or the Commercial Collapse.  This will be discussed at the latter part of the article.

If this wasn’t bad enough, the current U.S. banking system is based on a fractional reserve requirement of 10% in fiat money; basically paper backing paper.  This wasn’t always the case.  To get a better idea of how disastrous the present banking system has become, we need to take a look at fractional reserve requirements of the past.

From an Historic Gold-Backed Fractional Reserve System to a Paper Farce Today

Eric Sprott made a recent comment posted in an article on Zerohedge.com, stating that “The financial system is a farce” .  He couldn’t be more correct in his assumption.  Not only is the present U.S. banking system based on a financial debt instrument called a Federal Reserve Note, but its fractional reserve ratio is virtually nonexistent.

In 1932, the United States had a fractional reserve banking system backed by gold.  The member banks had different reserve requirements: central reserve city banks (13 percent), reserve banks (10 percent) and country banks (7 percent).  All member banks had a 3 percent reserve requirement on time deposits.  Even with these official reserve ratios, the total paper dollar claims to gold were much higher.  For this analysis, we are going to compare the M2 money supply to the amount of U.S. Treasury-held gold.

Central-bank gold holdings reach 6 year high: joining the dots

Central banks are holding more gold but they're holding very much more wood-pulp and although there may ultimately be a change in structure of a global reserve currency this may still be some time away.

Author: Adrian Ash
Posted:  Monday , 30 Jan 2012

LONDON (BullionVault) - 

The gold price on Wednesday broke up through the downtrend starting at last summer's record high. Or so a technical analyst studying the price chart would tell you.
But just as in late 2007 - from where gold began a 55% run inside 6 months - this week the price of gold bullion jumped on news that is fundamental: the price of money, specifically Dollars, the world's #1 currency for trade and central-bank reserves.

Back in 2007, the catalyst came as a baby-step rate cut of 0.25%, signalling the Fed's switch from raising to destroying the returns paid on cash savings. Now the Fed's new zero-rate promise "took gold comfortably clear of the 50, 100 and 200-day moving averages, and opened up some big targets to the upside," says one London technician. The previous ceiling of $1700 has become a support level according to bullion bank Scotia Mocatta, "with further key support at the 200-day moving average at $1645."

Whatever you make of such numbers, it's worth stepping back to see the wood for the trees. Because the trend in who's buying gold, and why, is so plain to spot that you hardly need join the dots.

Gold bullion holdings amongst the world's central banks, for instance, have risen to a 6-year high, according to data compiled by the International Monetary Fund. Emerging and developing nations have swollen their gold reserves 25% by weight since 2008. The debt-heavy West is a net seller, but only just.

James Turk from the GoldMoney Foundation interviews Eric Sprott on precious metals and the global banking system.

Eric Sprott - James Turk - GoldMoney Foundation 1/3

Eric Sprott - James Turk - GoldMoney Foundation 2/3

Eric Sprott - James Turk - GoldMoney Foundation 3/3

3 Months After The MF Global Bankruptcy, We Find That $1.2 Billion (Or More) In Client Money Has "Vaporized"

Submitted by Tyler Durden on 01/29/2012 23:58 -0500

On the three month bankruptcy anniversary of the company whose rehypothecation gimmicks will one day be seen as a harbinger of everything that is  broken with the multi-trillion ponzi system, but not just yet despite loud warnings otherwise, we are getting close to a final verdict of where the $1.2 billion (and possibly more as originally predicted by Zero Hedge - see below) in commingled client money may have gone. Note the use of the passive voice because using the active, as in money that MF Global executives stole from clients, is prohibited in a legal system in which nobody goes to jail for something as modest as $1.2 billion in theft. That verdict? "Vaporized." No really (and yes, in the passive voice of course). From the WSJ: "As the sprawling probe that includes regulators, criminal and congressional investigators, and court-appointed trustees grinds on, the findings so far suggest that a "significant amount" of the money could have "vaporized" as a result of chaotic trading at MF Global during the week before the company's Oct. 31 bankruptcy filing, said a person close to the investigation." Uh huh... Because money simply vaporizes. Which means one of two things: i) the "vaporization" is merely the phrase that so called investigators use to avoid the far more troubling sounding "stolen" as it would imply guilt, something which the former NJ governor and Goldman CEO (and not to mention JP Morgan which most likely was on the receiving end of the $1.2 billion + transaction) will, under guidance from counsel, sternly disagree with, or ii) the capital markets are such an unprecedented and manipulated fraud, that nobody has any clue at any moment, where any client money is, and that any residual capital still "invested" in mythical representations of "assets", which are likely rehypothecated so many times, that not even Bank of America's robosigning division would have a clue where to start unraveling, will promptly be converted into tangible manifestations of capital. So when someone asks what happened to stock market volume, and to investor confidence in the "stock market" feel free to use just that phrase: "it vaporized."

Technically Perfect

What a week it was.  My head is still spinning.  With gold and silver breaking out and following through and now coming into some resistance to the US markets holding up great then looking like they wanted a little consolidation then seeing many leading stocks rush higher later Friday afternoon.

          We had some stellar earnings reports this week, and some not so stellar.  I try and steer clear of trying to trade over those earnings report days as the fast, very fast, leading stocks I trade in my swing trading portfolio simply move too much on earnings.

          If it works out for you than its great, but if not, then it can be disastrous when we are talking 18% gains or even gains as much as 6% or 8% can be devastating as a gap will form and often in leading stocks the gap simply will never be filled.  And of course the inverse can be true if the street dislikes a company’s numbers

          With leaders breaking out Friday afternoon and really the markets not doing much it gives me great encouragement for our near-term swing trading future.

          Leading stocks lead the market in term of timing, and especially in terms of gains.

          Last week I had taken gains in all our swing trading positions for great gains.  Unfortunately it appears I took them too early as we would have had a nice run this week.  I did not hold any new positions into this weekend as the ones I tried quickly didn’t work and it looked like a market correction was due also.

          You can’t win ‘em all but I’ll be here ready for the next buy point.

          Please sign up to receive my free weekly letter along with any relevant info or articles I write, and if you like what I have to say and think I can help you make some money, and I know I can, then consider subscribing to our daily updates and trading alerts.

          On that note, let’s move into our precious metals charts who did exceptionally well this past week.

Metals review

 

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16 Statistics Which Show That The Number Of Americans Dependent On The Government Is At An All-Time High

A higher percentage of the American population is receiving government benefits than ever before.  Yes, there have always been poor people that have needed our assistance, but what does it say about our economy that the number of Americans dependent on the government is at an all-time high?  Every night on the evening news we are told that the economy is improving, and Barack Obama is endlessly giving speeches about the "economic recovery" that is supposedly underway.  But that is not the reality on the ground for those on the bottom rungs of the income ladder in America.  People are really hurting out there, and the number of Americans that are turning to the government for financial assistance just continues to increase.  Yes, we should always have a "safety net", but right now our "safety net" is becoming massively overloaded as millions more Americans jump on to it every single year.  What all of these impoverished Americans really need are jobs, but the U.S. Congress and the past several administrations have been systematically killing job growth in America.  So unfortunately the number of poor Americans is going to continue to rise, and that is really bad news for a nation that is already drowning in debt.
Some people out there want to blame the poor for the statistics that you are about to read, but that is a mistake.  Yes, there are a lot of people out there that are abusing the system, and that needs to be stopped.
But many Americans that are dependent on the government are in that situation because there simply are not enough jobs in this country.